For all the meteorology reports and tide tables we plough through each day to keep you up to speed, there's no better judge of what's to come than our turf trading neighbours - today they are watering their grass. And though the skies are grey, this is your cue to get out of your hotel and explore (expect nothing more than a few scattered showers until later this evening).
Dams, Reservoirs & River Levels
In both Hoi An and Hue these are being managed magnificently. In Hue where rain fall has been higher the dams have been releasing a constant and consistent level of water to match.
In Hoi An (a more complicated spot due to tidal influences*) a large release took place overnight on the 22nd to make way for 'big rain' in the mountain ranges to the south. At low tide this morning Hoi An's flood warning levels were called at one, with an expected increase to a low two by the end of today. Hue called in a warning level two.
For both cities, floods are not impossible - but it's looking more and more unlikely. Should they happen, they'll be of the minor, non-disruptive kind.
*During the flash flood Hoi An experienced on the 11th November 2017, the sea levels and wave strength were both high and strong due to the outer wind bands of typhoon Doksuri. This meant that when water was released from the hydro-dams, it was pushed back (rather than flowing out into the sea as it is at the moment). Though it can be worrying when you see reports of high quantities of water being ejected from the dams, this time it has a natural path to follow.
The Next 48 Hours
The real focus now is on the high rainfall and risk of landslides in the mountainous provinces of the entire central region rather than flood risk. For rural villages still recovering from the last flood, this is disastrous. For visitors, it's a disruptor for road and rail travel.
The biggest rainfall expected has skipped a day or two, and for both Hue and Hoi An the days of the 26 and 27th are presently looking to be a bigger worry. However, as we have seen this week longterm forecasts can change at the drop of a hat - As me old mucker Cocker wisely stated to me yesterday 'life's short, enjoy today'.